HAS — full report
The quantitative half of this page, from our sister site: open the quant view on QuantOrb.pro ↗
Market Report
HAS (Hasbro Inc) — Trading Analysis Report
Report date: 2026-09-18 | Instrument: HAS | Sector/Industry (per source docs): Consumer Discretionary / Leisure Products
0. Critical Data-Availability Notice (read first)
All three external data tools (get_stock_data, get_indicators, get_verified_market_snapshot) were called and returned NO_DATA_AVAILABLE — external market data tools are disabled in this deployment. This means:
- No OHLCV data, no price levels, no computed indicator values (RSI, MACD, SMAs, Bollinger Bands, ATR, VWMA readings) are available for this report.
- I cannot cite any specific price, support/resistance level, historical bounce, or percentage move — such claims would be fabricated. Where relevant below, I state exactly: not available in provided documents.
- The analysis below is therefore built exclusively on the permitted source documents: the QuantOrb money-flow snapshot (2026-09-17 US session), the SEC 10-K excerpt (filed 2026-02-25), the 8-K lookback status, and the 13F-HR institutional holdings snapshot (as of 2026-03-31).
One honest framing note: since indicator values cannot be computed, this report does two things — (1) extracts every usable signal from the documents, and (2) delivers the optimal indicator suite and a conditional decision framework a trader should run once data access is restored.
1. What the Source Documents Actually Establish
1.1 Quantitative money-flow snapshot — the freshest evidence
Source: QuantOrb money-flow engine, 2026-09-17 US session (site bake of the 05:30 HKT orb run; i.e., one trading session old as of this report date).
| Item | Reading | Interpretive note |
|---|---|---|
| MFI reading | 5.91 | On the conventional 0–100 Money Flow Index scale (a standard interpretive convention, not a document claim), readings below ~20 are typically classed as oversold; 5.91 sits deep in that zone, implying intense selling-pressure exhaustion or capitulation-type flow conditions. |
| Signal | BUY | Explicitly flagged in the source as "a quantitative screen output, not a recommendation." |
| Signal strength | 0.7272 | A relatively high conviction score on the engine's own scale; the documents do not define the scale's distribution, so percentile ranking is not available in provided documents. |
The core tension in this setup: an extremely depressed MFI (5.91) paired with a BUY-flagging screen (strength 0.7272) is the classic signature of a washed-out, oversold mean-reversion candidate — the engine is detecting that selling flow may be exhausted, not that an uptrend is underway. This is the single most important contextual fact for indicator selection (Section 3).
1.2 Institutional positioning — 13F-HR (as of 2026-03-31)
Five institutional filer rows tracked in the quantorb filers dataset. Caution: this is a quarter-end snapshot nearly 5.5 months stale relative to today, subject to a statutory reporting lag of up to 45 days, and is not an exhaustive list of 13F filers. Share counts only — no dollar values (no prices in documents, so market values are not available in provided documents).
| Filer | Shares (2026-03-31) | QoQ Change | QoQ % | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALLEY WEALTH MANAGERS, INC. | 320,301 | −11,680 | −3.5% | Trim |
| Blue Grotto Capital, LLC | 300,000 | +70,000 | +30.4% | Add |
| ALGERT GLOBAL LLC | 264,100 | −14,781 | −5.3% | Trim |
| ENTRUST GLOBAL PARTNERS L L C | 192,430 | −427,881 | −69.0% | Massive cut |
| Sellaronda Global Management LP | 190,000 | +15,000 | +8.6% | Add |
Derived flow analysis (straight arithmetic on the document's share counts):
- Aggregate tracked flow: 1,636,173 → 1,266,831 shares = net −369,342 shares (−22.6%) across the five tracked filers. Headline reading: institutional distribution.
- But the composition matters: the entire net reduction is driven by one filer. Entrust Global Partners alone cut −427,881 shares (−69.0%). Excluding Entrust, the remaining four filers were net buyers: +58,539 shares (~+5.8% on their combined prior base) — Blue Grotto's +30.4% add and Sellaronda's +8.6% add outweighing two modest trims.
- Nuance: this is "one large holder exits, smaller hands accumulate" — a pattern that can appear at both bottoms and mid-decline, and is not by itself bullish confirmation. It is also a March-31 snapshot; it tells you nothing definitive about positioning as of the 2026-09-17 signal date. Stale, partial, and directional-only — treat as weak evidence.
1.3 Filings — limited coverage
- 10-K (filed 2026-02-25): the provided excerpt contains only governance/boilerplate content (insider trading policy, Code of Conduct applicability to CEO/CFO/Controller, investor-relations website). No revenue, earnings, balance-sheet, or segment figures are available in provided documents. No fundamental valuation input can be derived from it.
- 8-K Item 2.02 (earnings press release): explicitly not available — no 8-K Item 2.02 filing found in the lookback window. There is therefore no recent reported-earnings catalyst documented on either side of the 2026-09-17 signal. Any earnings-date or fundamental-catalyst claim would be fabricated.
2. Discrepancy Check
Per instructions, get_verified_market_snapshot was called for HAS on 2026-09-18 and returned no data. Because no other tool produced numeric output, there is no tool-output conflict to reconcile — but also no verified price source. Every price-level or OHLCV claim in this report is therefore deliberately omitted. If a verified snapshot is later supplied and conflicts with the QuantOrb MFI/signal, the snapshot should be treated as controlling.
3. Selected Indicator Suite (8) — Rationale for This Specific Setup
The market condition implied by the documents is a deep-oversold, money-flow-exhausted name with a quantitative BUY flag and no documented fundamental catalyst — i.e., a potential counter-trend reversal / mean-reversion setup, which is exactly where false signals are most dangerous. The suite below is chosen to (a) confirm oversold momentum is genuinely turning, (b) define the trend regime being reverted into, (c) measure the stretch, (d) quantify risk for an asymmetric entry, and (e) verify volume participation. Redundant picks (e.g., macds alongside macd/macdh, close_10_ema as a noisy short-momentum duplicate, boll middle band duplicating SMA trend context) are deliberately excluded.
| # | Indicator | Role in this setup | Why it's the right pick here |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | rsi |
Momentum confirmation | MFI (5.91) is a volume-weighted flow gauge; RSI is price-only. If RSI is also sub-30 or carving a bullish divergence while MFI bottoms, the oversold read is corroborated; if RSI is mid-range while MFI is 5.91, the flow reading may be volume-spike-skewed (a known MFI distortion). Cross-check is essential. |
| 2 | macd |
Trend-change detection | Mean-reversion entries live or die on catching the actual turn. MACD line crossovers and, especially, bullish divergence at a price low are the primary early evidence that the downtrend is decelerating. |
| 3 | macdh |
Early momentum inflection | The histogram typically rolls over before the MACD/signal cross. In an oversold base, a shrinking-negative histogram is the earliest confirmable sign of seller exhaustion — valuable precisely because MFI is a lagging-prone single-session snapshot. |
| 4 | close_50_sma |
Medium-term trend / dynamic resistance | After a washout, the realistic first objective is reversion toward the 50 SMA. It also defines the medium-term slope of the trend you'd be counter-trading — falling 50 SMA argues for taking reversal profits quickly, flattening/turning 50 SMA argues for trend-following the bounce. |
| 5 | close_200_sma |
Strategic regime filter | The single best regime gate for counter-trend trades: price above a rising 200 SMA → oversold dips are classically higher-probability mean-reversion entries; price below a declining 200 SMA → the same setup has materially lower win rates and smaller targets. Also flags golden/death-cross context. |
| 6 | boll_lb |
Oversold stretch gauge | Independent, price-based confirmation of the extreme condition MFI describes. A close at/below the lower band alongside MFI 5.91 = statistically stretched; caveat: in strong downtrends price can ride the lower band, so it must confirm — not lead. |
| 7 | atr |
Risk sizing & stop placement | Not a signal tool — a survival tool. Counter-trend entries against unknown realized volatility are where position-sizing errors happen. ATR-based stops (e.g., a multiple of ATR beyond the invalidation swing) are the correct way to structure the trade given that no price levels are available from documents. |
| 8 | vwma |
Volume-participation check | Directly tests the thesis behind the BUY signal: a genuine flow-bottom should show volume-weighted price stabilizing/recovering. If recovery occurs on weak volume, VWMA will lag price and flag the move as suspect; MFI itself can be skewed by isolated volume spikes, so VWMA is the clean cross-check. |
Deliberately omitted: close_10_ema (noise-prone; MACD already covers short momentum with smoothing), macds (redundant with macd + macdh for crossover mechanics), boll and boll_ub (middle band duplicates SMA trend context; upper band is irrelevant to an oversold thesis and invites premature shorting).
4. Trend Observations and Interpretation (strictly evidence-bounded)
- Flow condition (strongest, freshest evidence): MFI of 5.91 on 2026-09-17 describes, by standard convention, a deeply oversold money-flow state. This is a condition, not a timing signal — oversold can stay oversold.
- Screen output: the engine's BUY flag at strength 0.7272 is consistent with a bottom-detection model firing off flow exhaustion. The document itself disclaims it as not a recommendation; treat it as a candidate filter, to be confirmed by the Section 3 suite.
- Institutional backdrop (stale): as of 2026-03-31, tracked 13F flow was −369,342 shares net, but wholly concentrated in one filer's −69.0% exit; ex-that filer, tracked holders were modest net buyers (+58,539 shares). The honest characterization is "mixed and stale," neither confirming nor contradicting the September flow signal. Where those holders stand today is not available in provided documents.
- Fundamental/fundamental-catalyst backdrop: blank. The 10-K excerpt is governance-only; no earnings 8-K exists in the lookback window. Any narrative about earnings, guidance, toy-cycle demand, or valuation multiples would be invention and is excluded.
- Net synthesis: the documented picture is quantitative-only — a deep flow washout flagged by one engine, with a stale and mixed institutional footprint and zero documented fundamentals. That profile argues for small, confirmation-gated, volatility-sized exposure rather than a conviction position.
5. Actionable Insights — Conditional Playbook
Since no prices/indicator values exist in the documents, every action below is expressed as a trigger → action rule to execute once verified data is available. No specific entry/exit prices are offered (not available in provided documents).
Gate 0 — Data hygiene (do first): Re-run get_stock_data → get_indicators for the 8 indicators above, and pull get_verified_market_snapshot for HAS on 2026-09-18. Treat the verified snapshot as controlling for all price claims.
Gate 1 — Momentum confirmation: Enter only if RSI corroborates the MFI read (sub-30, or a bullish divergence vs. the recent price low) and the MACD histogram is contracting from its most negative reading. If RSI is comfortably mid-range while MFI sits at 5.91, suspect a volume-spike distortion of the flow gauge — downgrade or skip the trade.
Gate 2 — Regime filter: Check price vs. close_200_sma and the 200 SMA's slope.
- Above rising 200 SMA → standard oversold-dip mean reversion; normal sizing.
- Below declining 200 SMA → counter-trend knife-catch regime: halve intended size, tighten targets to the close_50_sma rather than beyond it.
Gate 3 — Stretch confirmation: Price tagging/breaking boll_lb concurrent with the MFI extreme supports the entry; a reclaim back inside the bands is the cleaner trigger than the band touch itself (band-riding risk in downtrends).
Gate 4 — Volume verification: Confirm stabilization on vwma — recovery candles on volume at/above recent norms validate the flow-bottom thesis; low-volume drift higher is a fade candidate, not a trend entry.
Risk structuring (mandatory, not optional): Size the position off atr so that the stop (placed beyond the invalidation swing, at an ATR multiple) represents a fixed small fraction of capital. Given zero fundamental visibility in the documents, the trade must be carried entirely by technical confirmation and tight risk control.
Position framing: Given (a) single-engine signal provenance, (b) no documented earnings catalyst, and (c) stale mixed institutional data, appropriate framing is a small tactical mean-reversion position with defined invalidation, scalable only if Gate 1–4 all pass and/or a verified snapshot reveals an uptrend regime (e.g., price above a rising 200 SMA).
Key risks to the thesis: (1) MFI 5.91 reflects one session's bake and may not represent sustained flow; (2) oversold conditions persist longer than expected in downtrends; (3) the 13F snapshot is ~2 quarters stale; (4) unknown near-term catalyst (earnings timing not available in provided documents) could gap through ATR-based stops.
6. Summary Table
| Item | Finding | Evidence basis | Confidence / caveat |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker / Sector | HAS — Consumer Discretionary, Leisure Products | QuantOrb snapshot | High (direct doc) |
| MFI reading | 5.91 (2026-09-17 US session) | QuantOrb money-flow engine | High on value; interpretation ("deeply oversold") uses standard convention, not doc-stated |
| Quant signal | BUY, strength 0.7272 | QuantOrb screen output — explicitly not a recommendation | High on value; it is a screen output only |
| Institutional flow (13F) | Net −369,342 shares (−22.6%) across 5 tracked filers, but +58,539 shares ex-Entrust; driven by one −69.0% exit | 13F-HR as of 2026-03-31 | Low utility — ~5.5 months stale, partial holder list, share counts only |
| Fundamentals / earnings | Not available in provided documents (10-K excerpt governance-only; no 8-K Item 2.02 in lookback) | FILING / EIGHTK sections | Gap — no catalyst visibility |
| Prices / OHLCV / indicator values | Not available in provided documents — all data tools disabled (NO_DATA_AVAILABLE) |
Tool results | Total gap; no price claims made |
| Selected indicator suite | rsi, macd, macdh, close_50_sma, close_200_sma, boll_lb, atr, vwma (8) |
Design rationale vs. oversold-reversal setup | Chosen for complementarity; values pending data restoration |
| Primary trade hypothesis | Oversold mean-reversion candidate, pending 4-gate confirmation (momentum → regime → stretch → volume) | Synthesis of MFI 5.91 + BUY flag | Conditional; requires verified data before execution |
| Risk protocol | ATR-based stops, fixed fractional sizing, halved size if below declining 200 SMA | Standard risk framework (no doc-sourced volatility figure) | Mandatory given zero fundamental visibility |
| Discrepancy check | No tool-output conflicts (no numeric tool output); verified snapshot unavailable | Section 2 | Flag stands: treat any future verified snapshot as controlling |
Bottom line: The documents depict HAS as a deeply washed-out money-flow candidate (MFI 5.91) with a high-strength quantitative BUY screen (0.7272), set against a stale and internally mixed institutional picture and no documented fundamental catalyst. That supports a confirmation-gated, volatility-sized tactical long hypothesis — but with every price-dependent gate unfillable until data tools are restored, no execution-grade price levels can responsibly be issued from this report.
Sentiment Report
Overall Sentiment: Mildly Bullish (Score: 5.9/10) Confidence: Low
HAS (Hasbro Inc) — Sentiment Report, 2026-09-11 to 2026-09-18
Data-quality disclaimer (critical): All three social/news sources were unavailable in this deployment — Yahoo Finance news, StockTwits, and Reddit each returned "unavailable / NO_DATA_AVAILABLE" placeholders. This report therefore rests entirely on quantitative and regulatory documents: a money-flow snapshot, a 10-K excerpt, an 8-K absence, and a 13F-HR holder snapshot. Confidence is low accordingly; no retail-sentiment read is possible.
1. Source-by-source breakdown
News (Yahoo Finance, past 7 days): No data available in provided documents. No headline or event flow can be assessed for HAS this week.
StockTwits: No data available in provided documents. No bullish/bearish message ratio can be computed.
Reddit (r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks, r/investing): No data available in provided documents. All three subreddits silent in this dataset.
QuantOrb money-flow engine (2026-09-17 US session): MFI reading of 5.91 — a deeply oversold money-flow level — with a BUY signal at strength 0.7272. This is a quantitative screen output, not a recommendation. Sector/industry context: Consumer Discretionary / Leisure Products. An oversold MFI with a firm BUY screen suggests selling pressure may be exhausting into the 09-17 session, but a single-day technical reading is fragile evidence on its own.
SEC 10-K (filed 2026-02-25): The excerpt is procedural/governance boilerplate only (insider trading policy, Code of Conduct, investor website). It contains no financial performance, segment, or outlook information — no fundamental sentiment signal can be drawn from it.
8-K Item 2.02 (earnings press release): No 8-K Item 2.02 filing found in the lookback window — so no fresh earnings event framing; absence of an earnings 8-K is not a sentiment signal in itself.
13F-HR (positions as of 2026-03-31, statutory lag up to 45 days): 5 tracked filers show mixed positioning: - Blue Grotto Capital: +70,000 shares (+30.4%) — bullish - Sellaronda Global Management: +15,000 shares (+8.6%) — bullish - Valley Wealth Managers: −11,680 shares (−3.5%) — mildly bearish - Algert Global: −14,781 shares (−5.3%) — mildly bearish - Entrust Global Partners: −427,881 shares (−69.0%) — strongly bearish, the single largest move
Net directional read: 2 adders vs 3 reducers, but the reducer column is dominated by Entrust's −69.0% cut. Aggregate skew is mildly negative-to-neutral, and the data is a quarter-end snapshot roughly 5.5 months stale relative to the analysis date — a lagged, incomplete signal by design.
2. Cross-source divergences and alignments
- The one live signal (oversold MFI, BUY screen, 09-17) mildly conflicts with the stale 13F net reduction skew. However, the 13F data is from 2026-03-31 and cannot speak to September positioning — the divergence may simply reflect timing, not disagreement.
- The absence of news/social flow means the oversold technical read is unconfirmed by any narrative catalyst — nothing in the provided documents explains what drove HAS to an MFI of 5.91.
3. Dominant narrative themes
- Oversold bounce setup: the MFI 5.91 / BUY screen is the only current theme with any evidentiary weight.
- Institutional caution (lagged): the Entrust near-exit dominates the stale 13F picture.
- Not available in provided documents: any earnings, product, IP, tariffs, or macro discussion.
4. Catalysts and risks surfaced by the data
- Catalyst: Oversold MFI condition with a moderately strong BUY screen (0.7272) could precede a technical rebound if selling pressure subsides.
- Risks: (a) Single-day technical signal with no fundamental or sentiment confirmation; (b) no earnings 8-K in the lookback window means upcoming results — if near — arrive with no read here; (c) the stale 13F reduction skew (esp. Entrust −69%) hints institutional distribution as of March; (d) complete news/social blackout means any real catalyst (positive or negative) would be invisible to this analysis. Any actual events are not available in provided documents.
5. Key sentiment signals table
| Signal | Direction | Source | Supporting evidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Money-flow oversold + BUY screen | Mildly Bullish | QuantOrb (2026-09-17) | MFI 5.91, BUY signal, strength 0.7272 |
| Institutional positioning | Mildly Bearish (lagged) | 13F-HR as of 2026-03-31 | 3 of 5 filers reduced; Entrust −69.0%; Blue Grotto +30.4% and Sellaronda +8.6% partially offset |
| News flow | No signal | Yahoo Finance | NO_DATA_AVAILABLE |
| Retail social (StockTwits) | No signal | StockTwits | Unavailable in deployment |
| Reddit discussion | No signal | Reddit (3 subs) | Unavailable in deployment |
| Recent earnings event | No signal | 8-K Item 2.02 | No filing found in lookback window |
Bottom line
Only a thin, mildly bullish technical signal (oversold MFI + BUY screen on 2026-09-17) stands against a lagged, mildly negative institutional-adjustment picture and a complete news/social blackout. The fair band is Mildly Bullish (score ~5.9) but with low confidence — the trader should treat this as a weak, unconfirmed oversold-bounce signal, not a thesis, and weigh it alongside fundamentals and technicals rather than as a price call.
News & Trend Research
HAS (Hasbro Inc) — News & Macro Research Report
Analysis date: 2026-09-18 | Ticker: HAS | Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Leisure Products
0. Data Availability & Tool Status (read first)
I executed the full data-gathering pass for this workflow: get_news(HAS, 2026-09-11 → 2026-09-18), get_global_news(2026-09-18, 7d), get_macro_indicators for cpi, core_pce, unemployment, fed_funds_rate, 10y_treasury, and yield_curve, plus get_prediction_markets for "Fed rate cut" and "recession 2026". All ten calls returned NO_DATA_AVAILABLE — external data tools are disabled in this deployment. Accordingly, this report is built strictly from the four permitted source documents (QuantOrb money-flow snapshot, SEC 10-K excerpt, 8-K status note, and 13F-HR dataset), and every gap is flagged as not available in provided documents. No news, macro, price, or probability figures have been fabricated.
1. Company Signal Snapshot (HAS)
Source: QuantOrb money-flow engine, 2026-09-17 US session (site bake of the 05:30 HKT orb run) — the freshest datum available.
- MFI reading: 5.91 — this is an extremely low print on the Money Flow Index's conventional 0–100 scale (sub-20 is the standard oversold threshold; 5.91 sits near the bottom of the range). The engine's output maps this to a BUY signal with strength 0.7272 (the strength scale is not defined in the provided document).
- Per the source itself: this is a quantitative screen output, not a recommendation.
- Interpretive framing: a 5.91 MFI indicates intense net selling pressure / oversold money-flow conditions as of the 2026-09-17 close. Two trader archetypes read this differently:
- Mean-reversion traders treat a deep-oversold MFI as a setup for a bounce — the screen's BUY designation aligns with this.
- Trend/momentum traders caution that oversold readings can persist for extended periods in sustained downtrends; MFI measures flow extremes, not valuation or fundamental support.
- Critical verification gap: no price series, trend direction, volume context, or valuation data is available in the provided documents, so it is impossible to determine from this dataset whether the oversold reading is occurring within an uptrend (buyable dip) or a downtrend (falling knife). Traders should independently confirm price structure before acting on the screen.
2. Institutional Positioning (13F-HR)
Source: quantorb filers dataset, positions as of 2026-03-31 — a quarter-end snapshot subject to a statutory lag of up to 45 days, i.e., roughly 5.5 months stale versus today (2026-09-18). Only 5 tracked filer rows; not an exhaustive list of 13F filers. A more recent (Q2 2026) snapshot is not available in provided documents.
| Filer | Shares (2026-03-31) | QoQ Change | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| VALLEY WEALTH MANAGERS, INC. | 320,301 | −11,680 | −3.5% |
| Blue Grotto Capital, LLC | 300,000 | +70,000 | +30.4% |
| ALGERT GLOBAL LLC | 264,100 | −14,781 | −5.3% |
| ENTRUST GLOBAL PARTNERS L L C | 192,430 | −427,881 | −69.0% |
| Sellaronda Global Management LP | 190,000 | +15,000 | +8.6% |
Computed flow summary (arithmetic on the disclosed figures): - Total tracked position: 1,266,831 shares. - Net QoQ change across the cohort: −369,342 shares (2 adders: +85,000 combined; 3 reducers: −454,342 combined). - The entire net reduction is driven by one filer — ENTRUST GLOBAL PARTNERS' −69.0% cut (from an implied ~620,311 shares). Excluding Entrust, the other four tracked filers were net buyers of +58,539 shares, led by Blue Grotto Capital's +30.4% add. - Read-through: as of the Q1 2026 snapshot there was no uniform institutional exit among the tracked cohort — rather, one large single-filer liquidation alongside modest accumulation elsewhere. The concentration of the outflow in a single account materially weakens a bearish "smart money fleeing" narrative, but the data is stale and the sample is small (5 filers; large index/asset-manager holders are not represented in this snapshot).
3. Filings Review
- SEC 10-K (filed 2026-02-25): The excerpt provided contains only governance/administrative boilerplate — Item 1 cross-references on executive officers, the Insider Trading Policy (Exhibit 19), the Code of Conduct applicable to all employees, officers and directors including the CEO, CFO and Controller, and the investor-relations website (http://hasbro.gcs-web.com). The Item 7 MD&A section is an opening cross-reference only. No financial results, segment data, risk factors, or business-line detail are available in provided documents. Notably, the filing does confirm governance formalities are in place; no red flags are extractable from the excerpt, but equally no positive fundamental evidence either.
- SEC 8-K Item 2.02 (earnings press release): No 8-K Item 2.02 filing found in the lookback window per the dataset. This means no fresh earnings press-release event is captured in the provided evidence — it is not evidence about Hasbro's broader filing cadence beyond that window. Traders should verify the current earnings calendar independently; the next earnings date is not available in provided documents.
- Company-specific news, past week (2026-09-11 → 2026-09-18): not available in provided documents (news tool disabled).
4. Macro Environment
All macro indicators requested via FRED grounding — CPI, core PCE, unemployment, fed funds rate, 10-year Treasury yield, yield curve — returned no data. Current macro conditions relevant to a Consumer Discretionary / Leisure Products name are not available in provided documents. As a matter of general sector framing (not document evidence): HAS's sector classification implies sensitivity to consumer discretionary spending cycles, input costs/tariffs, and rate-sensitive discounting — but none of these drivers can be quantified here.
5. Prediction Markets
get_prediction_markets for "Fed rate cut" and "recession 2026" returned no data. Market-implied probabilities of forward-looking macro events are not available in provided documents.
6. Synthesis & Actionable Insights
- Primary actionable datum — oversold money-flow screen (fresh, 2026-09-17): MFI 5.91 with a BUY signal (strength 0.7272) is the only current quantitative evidence on HAS. For short-horizon mean-reversion traders this is a bounce-candidate setup; however, the signal is unvalidated against price trend, support levels, or catalysts — all not available in provided documents. Size positions as if the signal is unconfirmed.
- Institutional flow is mixed, not bearish — but stale: the Q1 2026 13F net reduction is wholly attributable to one filer's −69% exit; ex-Entrust the tracked cohort added +58,539 shares. Treat this as weak, 5.5-month-old context — not a current-week flow signal.
- No fresh earnings event in evidence: the absence of an 8-K Item 2.02 in the lookback window means the dataset surfaces no new earnings release; confirm the reporting calendar before holding through an earnings date (date not available in provided documents).
- Macro overlay is ungrounded: with CPI/PCE/unemployment/rates/yield-curve data unavailable, any macro-dependent thesis (consumer health, rate path, recession risk) cannot be supported here. Recommend obtaining FRED data and prediction-market probabilities from an enabled deployment before sizing a macro-linked trade in HAS.
- Risk framing: HAS is a Consumer Discretionary / Leisure Products name; the deep-oversold MFI could equally precede mean reversion or continuation lower. The prudent structure is small size on the quant signal, hard invalidation levels set against live price data (unavailable here), and escalation only after news/macro confirmation is obtained.
Key Points Table
| # | Item | Evidence (Source) | Read-through for Traders | Confidence / Freshness | Caveat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quant money-flow signal | MFI 5.91, BUY, strength 0.7272 (QuantOrb, 2026-09-17 US session) | Deep-oversold reading; mean-reversion bounce setup for short horizon | High freshness; medium reliability | Screen output, not a recommendation; no price/trend context to validate |
| 2 | Tracked institutional flow | 1,266,831 shares across 5 filers; net −369,342 QoQ; −69.0% cut by Entrust is the entire outflow; ex-Entrust +58,539 net (13F-HR, 2026-03-31) | Mixed-to-neutral institutional stance; no uniform exit among tracked filers | Low freshness (~5.5 months stale) | 5-filer sample, non-exhaustive; quarter-end snapshot with up to 45-day lag |
| 3 | Accumulation within cohort | Blue Grotto +30.4% (+70,000 sh); Sellaronda +8.6% (+15,000 sh) (13F-HR) | Small filers were adding as of Q1 2026 | Low freshness | Not indicative of current positioning |
| 4 | Latest filing | 10-K filed 2026-02-25; governance boilerplate only (Insider Trading Policy Ex. 19, Code of Conduct) | No fundamental or financial evidence extractable | Medium (filing is authoritative) | Substantive MD&A/financials not available in provided documents |
| 5 | Earnings event status | No 8-K Item 2.02 found in lookback window | No fresh earnings press release captured; verify calendar independently | Medium | Absence is lookback-window-specific, not a full history |
| 6 | Company news (past week) | — | Cannot assess catalysts | — | Not available in provided documents (tool disabled) |
| 7 | Macro: CPI, core PCE, unemployment, fed funds, 10Y, yield curve | — | Consumer/rate backdrop unquantifiable | — | Not available in provided documents (tool disabled) |
| 8 | Prediction markets: Fed rate cut; recession 2026 | — | Forward-event probabilities unavailable | — | Not available in provided documents (tool disabled) |
| 9 | Price / valuation / volume data | — | Cannot confirm trend context for MFI signal | — | Not available in provided documents |
| 10 | Bottom line | Items 1–5 | Small-size mean-reversion trade on fresh quant signal only with externally confirmed price structure; stale flows are neutral context; macro overlay ungrounded | Mixed | Quant signal is a screen, not advice |
Bottom line: The single fresh, evidence-backed observation is HAS's extreme money-flow oversold reading (MFI 5.91, BUY screen, 2026-09-17). Everything else in the permitted evidence set is either administrative (10-K excerpt), stale but neutral (13F flows, driven by one filer), or absent (news, macro, prediction markets, prices). Any trade in HAS should be treated as an unconfirmed quant setup pending externally sourced price, news, and macro validation.
Fundamentals Report
Fundamental Analysis Report — Hasbro Inc (HAS)
Analysis date: 2026-09-18 Instrument: HAS (Consumer Discretionary — Leisure Products) Prepared for: Trading desk / workflow handoff
1. Tool Status & Data Availability Disclosure
All four assigned tools were invoked for HAS (get_fundamentals, get_balance_sheet, get_cashflow, get_income_statement), and all four returned NO_DATA_AVAILABLE — external market-data access is disabled in this deployment. Consequently, the following are not available in provided documents and are excluded from this report: income statement figures (revenue, margins, EPS), balance sheet items (cash, debt, equity), cash flow items (operating cash flow, capex, FCF), valuation multiples, share counts, dividend data, and price history.
This report is therefore built exclusively on the four permitted source documents: the QuantOrb money-flow snapshot, the SEC 10-K excerpt, the 8-K status note, and the 13F-HR institutional holdings snapshot.
2. Company Profile (per 10-K excerpt and FACTS document)
- Company: Hasbro Inc (HAS)
- Sector: Consumer Discretionary
- Industry: Leisure Products (per QuantOrb snapshot classification)
- Latest annual filing: SEC Form 10-K, filed 2026-02-25
- Governance posture (as filed): The 10-K excerpt confirms the company maintains (a) an Insider Trading Policy applicable to directors, officers, employees, and the Company itself (filed as Exhibit 19 to the 10-K; described in the 2026 Annual Meeting Proxy Statement), and (b) a Code of Conduct applicable to all employees, officers, and directors — explicitly including the CEO, CFO, and Controller.
- Investor relations: Company investor website disclosed in the filing: http://hasbro.gcs-web.com
- Executive officers: Referenced under the caption "Our Executive Officers" and incorporated by reference — named individuals and titles are not available in provided documents.
Note: The 10-K excerpt provided contains only cover-page/incorporation-by-reference material. Business-segment descriptions, fiscal period covered, and all Item 7 MD&A content beyond the section heading are not available in provided documents.
3. Quantitative Money-Flow Snapshot (most recent documented signal)
Source: QuantOrb money-flow engine, 2026-09-17 US session (site bake of the 05:30 HKT orb run) — one session prior to this analysis date.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| MFI reading | 5.91 |
| Signal | BUY |
| Signal strength | 0.7272 |
Interpretation (methodological context, not fabricated data): On the standard 0–100 Money Flow Index scale, a reading of 5.91 sits at the extreme low end of the range, a zone conventionally associated with deeply oversold conditions. The engine's BUY signal (strength 0.7272) is consistent with a contrarian/oversold-triggered screen. Per the source document itself: the signal is a quantitative screen output, not a recommendation.
Caveats for traders: - The snapshot covers the 2026-09-17 session; no 2026-09-18 intraday data is available in provided documents. - No price, volume, or level data accompanies the MFI reading, so entry/exit price zones cannot be established from the documents. - An oversold MFI identifies stretched selling pressure, not a fundamental reason for reversion — and no fundamental statement data is available in this deployment to corroborate.
4. Financial Statements (income statement, balance sheet, cash flow)
All three statements for HAS are not available in provided documents (tool deployment returned no data; no statement figures appear in any permitted source). Specifically unavailable and unverifiable:
- Revenue, gross/operating/net margins, EPS — not available in provided documents
- Total debt, cash & equivalents, leverage ratios, working capital — not available in provided documents
- Operating cash flow, capital expenditures, free cash flow, buybacks/dividends — not available in provided documents
Implication: Traders cannot validate balance-sheet strength, earnings quality, or cash-generation trends from this report. Any thesis on HAS must treat the fundamental-financial leg as an open gap to be filled by an agent with live data access.
5. Filing Flow & Event Coverage
| Filing type | Status in documents |
|---|---|
| 10-K (annual) | Filed 2026-02-25; excerpt provided contains governance/incorporation-by-reference language only |
| 8-K Item 2.02 (earnings press release) | Not available — no 8-K Item 2.02 filing found in the lookback window |
| 13F-HR (institutional) | Quarter-end snapshot as of 2026-03-31 (see Section 6) |
Implication: There is no documented earnings release or fresh company event in the lookback window. The most recent dated company disclosure in the documents is the 10-K (2026-02-25), roughly 6.8 months before the analysis date. Traders face an information vacuum: the oversold money-flow signal cannot be tied to any documented fundamental catalyst (earnings beat/miss, guidance change, etc.) within these sources.
6. Institutional Holdings — 13F-HR Snapshot (as of 2026-03-31)
Source: SEC 13F-HR via quantorb filers data. 5 institutional filer rows tracked; quarter-end snapshot subject to statutory reporting lag of up to 45 days. As of the 2026-09-18 analysis date, this snapshot is ~5.6 months stale, and the 2026-06-30 quarter-end snapshot is not available in provided documents.
| Filer | Shares (2026-03-31) | QoQ Change | % Change | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALLEY WEALTH MANAGERS, INC. | 320,301 | −11,680 | −3.5% | Reduced |
| Blue Grotto Capital, LLC | 300,000 | +70,000 | +30.4% | Added |
| ALGERT GLOBAL LLC | 264,100 | −14,781 | −5.3% | Reduced |
| ENTRUST GLOBAL PARTNERS L L C | 192,430 | −427,881 | −69.0% | Reduced (large cut) |
| Sellaronda Global Management LP | 190,000 | +15,000 | +8.6% | Added |
| Tracked total | 1,266,831 | −369,342 | ≈ −22.6% (vs. prior tracked total of 1,636,173) | Net reduction |
Reading the flow: - Breadth is mixed-to-negative: 2 of 5 tracked filers added (Blue Grotto +30.4%, Sellaronda +8.6%); 3 of 5 reduced. - The net flow is dominated by a single filer: Entrust Global Partners' −427,881-share cut (−69.0%) accounts for more than the entire net reduction (−369,342). Excluding Entrust, the remaining four filers were net buyers (+58,539 shares QoQ) — a materially different picture that traders should weigh before reading the headline total as broad institutional selling. - Sample limitations (per source document): this is the dataset's tracked top-holder snapshot, not an exhaustive list of 13F filers; it is a periodic regulatory disclosure, not real-time portfolio data. It cannot be scaled to total institutional ownership or % of shares outstanding for HAS.
7. Actionable Insights for Traders
-
Contrarian setup flag, unconfirmed by fundamentals. The 2026-09-17 snapshot shows HAS with MFI 5.91 and a BUY screen signal (strength 0.7272) — extreme-low-end money-flow territory. In isolation this flags stretched selling pressure and a potential mean-reversion watch-list candidate. However, with no price data, no earnings 8-K, and no statement data available, position sizing and entry levels cannot be set from these documents.
-
Do not over-read the headline institutional outflow. The tracked-filer net change of −369,342 shares (≈ −22.6%) is almost entirely one filer's reduction (Entrust, −69.0%). Ex-Entrust, tracked filers were net buyers (+58,539 shares). The more informative read: moderate adds by Blue Grotto (+30.4%) and Sellaronda (+8.6%) versus modest trims by Valley Wealth (−3.5%) and Algert (−5.3%) — i.e., divergent positioning among smaller tracked holders, not a coordinated exit.
-
Staleness risk is elevated. The 13F data is as of 2026-03-31 (~5.6 months old); institutional positioning may have shifted materially since, and the Q2 snapshot is not in the documents. Treat it as historical color, not current sentiment.
-
Catalyst blindness. With no 8-K Item 2.02 in the lookback window and no MD&A content in the 10-K excerpt, no documented fundamental catalyst explains the oversold reading. Before acting on the BUY screen signal, traders should source: latest earnings release, guidance, segment revenue trends (Wizards/toys & licensing mix is Hasbro's known business, but per instructions — specifics are not available in provided documents), and current balance-sheet posture.
-
Governance hygiene is documented and clean-looking. The 10-K confirms Insider Trading Policy (Exhibit 19) and a Code of Conduct covering the CEO/CFO/Controller — routine but positive compliance markers. No governance red flags appear in the provided excerpt.
8. Data Gaps Summary
The following are not available in provided documents and are required to complete the fundamental picture: current/period-end income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow figures; valuation metrics; shares outstanding; dividend policy; segment and product-line revenue; FY financial history and multi-year trends; current market price and trading volumes; the 2026-06-30 13F snapshot; and any management guidance or commentary.
9. Key Points Summary Table
| # | Category | Key Finding | Supporting Evidence | Source & Caveat |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quant signal | MFI 5.91 (extreme low end), BUY signal, strength 0.7272 | Money-flow snapshot, 2026-09-17 US session | QuantOrb FACTS; screen output, not a recommendation; no price data |
| 2 | Company profile | Consumer Discretionary / Leisure Products; investor site hasbro.gcs-web.com | QuantOrb classification; 10-K excerpt | 10-K filed 2026-02-25 |
| 3 | Governance | Insider Trading Policy (Exhibit 19) + Code of Conduct incl. CEO/CFO/Controller | 10-K excerpt | Routine compliance; no red flags in excerpt |
| 4 | Earnings events | No 8-K Item 2.02 in lookback window | EIGHTK status note | No documented fundamental catalyst |
| 5 | Institutional flow | Tracked net −369,342 shares QoQ (≈ −22.6%) | 13F-HR as of 2026-03-31 | 5 filers only; ~5.6 months stale; not exhaustive |
| 6 | Institutional flow detail | Entrust −69.0% (−427,881 sh) dominates outflow; ex-Entrust tracked filers net buyers (+58,539 sh) | Computed from 13F-HR deltas | Divergent, not coordinated, positioning |
| 7 | Institutional adds | Blue Grotto +30.4% (+70,000 sh); Sellaronda +8.6% (+15,000 sh) | 13F-HR as of 2026-03-31 | Stale snapshot |
| 8 | Financial statements | Income statement, balance sheet, cash flow — all unavailable | All 4 tools returned NO_DATA_AVAILABLE | Fundamental leg of thesis is an open gap |
| 9 | Filing recency | Latest dated company disclosure: 10-K, 2026-02-25 (~6.8 months pre-analysis) | FILING document | Excerpt lacks MD&A/financial content |
| 10 | Trading stance | Oversold-flag watch-list candidate; cannot confirm levels or fundamental support | Sections 3, 4, 8 | Await earnings/price data from live-data agent |
Handoff note: This report completes the documentary side of the analysis. A downstream agent with live market-data access should close the gaps flagged in Section 8 — most urgently, current price/volume to anchor the MFI 5.91 oversold reading, and the latest earnings release to identify any fundamental catalyst — before any trade is sized on HAS.
Investment Plan
Recommendation: Hold
Rationale: Both sides rest on the same thin evidence set, and neither wins decisively. The bull's strongest point is real: the freshest dated data in the file is a QuantOrb MFI of 5.91 with a BUY screen signal (strength 0.7272) as of the 2026-09-17 session, and the 13F "distribution" headline is heavily driven by a single filer — ex-Entrust Global Partners, the four other tracked filers were net buyers (+58,539 shares), including Blue Grotto's +30.4% add. The bear's rebuttal is also genuinely strong: MFI 5.91 is a one-session snapshot of selling pressure with an unexplained cause (why flow hit that level is not available in provided documents), oversold is a condition not a turn, the signal is expressly labeled a screen output not a recommendation on an undefined strength scale, and the Entrust −69% cut by the largest tracked holder cannot simply be deleted without also discarding the small-filer adds on the same staleness logic. Critically, the bull's own execution playbook is unrunnable here — RSI, MACD, SMA regime, VWMA, and ATR inputs are all not available in provided documents — so the confirmation gates that would convert a washout into a trade cannot be evaluated. Fundamentals, price, valuation, earnings dates, news, and macro are all dark for both sides. The bear wins on process: staying out requires nothing to be true, while buying requires every unknown to be benign. But the bear hasn't proven anything wrong either — there is no documented negative catalyst, no 8-K Item 2.02, and clean governance boilerplate in the 10-K. With the sole directional data point bullish but unconfirmed, institutional evidence mixed and stale, and no way to run confirmation checks, the evidence is balanced and too thin to commit capital in either direction — that is precisely the case for Hold, not a manufactured call.
Strategic Actions: Maintain any existing HAS position at current size; do not add and do not exit. Do not act on the QuantOrb BUY screen alone — it is a single-session, unexplained extreme reading, not a recommendation. Place HAS on a watch list for re-evaluation when any of the missing evidence becomes available: (1) a confirmed fundamental catalyst or earnings release (no 8-K Item 2.02 in the current lookback), (2) Q2/Q3 13F updates to clarify whether Entrust's −69% cut was idiosyncratic or the start of broader distribution, or (3) technical data (RSI, MACD, 200-day SMA, VWMA, ATR) that would allow the momentum-confirmation gates to actually be evaluated. If confirmation data later arrives corroborating the oversold-reversal read alongside stable or accumulating institutional positioning, revisit with an Overweight/Buy bias sized at up to a half-standard allocation, volatility-sized with a hard invalidation level. If instead fresh news reveals a fundamental driver behind the flow extreme, downgrade immediately. For now: no new capital, no trim — the record supports neither the bull's washout-entry nor the bear's exit.
Final Trade Decision
Rating: Hold
Executive Summary: Maintain any existing HAS position at current size; do not add and do not exit. Do not act on the QuantOrb BUY screen (MFI 5.91, strength 0.7272, 2026-09-17 session) alone — it is a single-session, unexplained flow extreme expressly labeled not a recommendation. Place HAS on a watch list and re-engage only when confirmation inputs (RSI, MACD, 200-day SMA, VWMA, ATR), a verified earnings calendar, or fresh institutional data become available; size any eventual entry as a small, volatility-defined pilot tranche with a pre-committed invalidation level.
Investment Thesis: The evidence set is too thin and too conflicted to support a directional call. The bull case rests on the freshest datum: an MFI of 5.91 with a BUY screen flag (strength 0.7272) as of the 2026-09-17 session — a rare, exhaustion-class flow print. But that reading is a one-session snapshot from a single engine, its cause is not available in provided documents (all news, macro, and fundamentals feeds dark), the strength scale is undefined, and the source itself disclaims it as not a recommendation. Critically, every confirmation gate the bull's own playbook requires — RSI, MACD, 200-day SMA regime, VWMA, ATR — is unrunnable because no price or indicator data exists in the record; the aggressive analyst concedes this by admitting entry levels and stops can only be fixed 'the moment live prices land.' That makes his engagement-now proposal mechanically unexecutable, and the neutral analyst's point stands: an unconditional intent to buy with the math deferred is not a position. The 13F evidence (as of 2026-03-31, stale by ~5.5 months) cuts both ways: headline net reduction of ~22.6% across tracked filers is driven almost entirely by Entrust Global Partners' -69% cut of the largest tracked position, while the other four filers were net buyers (+58,539 shares, led by Blue Grotto +30.4% and Sellaronda +8.6%) — but two of those adds came from small filers, and a quarter-end snapshot is too stale to serve either the bull or the bear. The conservative analyst's strongest structural point is that 'no documented bad news' under a total data blackout is evidence of blindness, not absence of negatives — committing capital inside that blind window means holding risk that cannot be monitored, with undated consumer-discretionary earnings gap risk (no 8-K Item 2.02 in the lookback, but the earnings date is not available in provided documents). The 10-K excerpt is governance boilerplate only; no fundamental, valuation, or macro evidence exists in the record. The bear does not win decisively either — no documented negative catalyst exists, and dismissing the freshest MFI signal entirely mirrors the bull's overreliance on it. With the sole directional data point bullish but unconfirmable, institutional evidence mixed and stale, and no price levels anywhere to define risk, the case for maintaining rather than initiating or exiting is the only one supported by the record. What would change it: (1) a documented fundamental catalyst or dated earnings release, (2) fresh 13F data clarifying whether Entrust's cut was idiosyncratic or broad distribution, or (3) restored price/technical data enabling the confirmation gates. Corroborating confirmation alongside stable institutional positioning would justify upgrading to Overweight/Buy sized modestly with a hard invalidation level; a documented fundamental driver behind the flow extreme would justify immediate downgrade.
[price target withheld — AdCho policy]
Time Horizon: Review at next data availability: fresh price/technical data, next earnings release, or Q2/Q3 13F updates — whichever comes first; treat the 2026-09-17 MFI signal as aged out if nothing arrives promptly.
Sources
- Source: SEC 10-K (filed 2026-02-25), excerpt — EDGAR accession 0000046080-26-000011 (via QuantOrb document corpus)
- Source: SEC 13F-HR holdings (as of 2026-03-31) via quantorb filers data — quarter-end snapshots, statutory lag up to 45 days — dataset period 2026-03-31
- Source: QuantOrb money-flow engine, as of the 2026-09-17 US session
- Engine: multi-analyst AI engine, document-constrained run (stance: Hold). AdCho tear sheets are AI-powered qualitative context, not proof.
Facts (verifiable): SEC filings via the QuantOrb document corpus · QuantOrb money-flow & 13F datasets. Reading (AI-powered): AdCho’s synthesis via a multi-analyst AI engine.
Report schema adcho.report.v1 · engine output generated 2026-09-19T18:54:03.920090+00:00 · rendered by AdCho · US-session dates only