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BAX — tear sheet

BAXTER INTERNATIONAL INC · Overweight · covers US session 2026-09-18 · Tear sheet created 11 days ago

Revenue
$2.96B
+5%
Adjusted EPS
$0.56
vs $0.26

Executive Summary

The engine's document-constrained review lands on a constructive Overweight for Baxter International (BAX), resting on what it calls the file's strongest unrebutted evidence: second-quarter 2026 sales of $2.96 billion, up 5% on both reported and organic bases with growth in all segments and divisions, plus a raised full-year 2026 outlook (management's press release, SEC 8-K Item 2.02, 2026-07-30). The 10-K adds that North Cove was fully operational by end-Q1 2025, alongside $513 million of 2025 capital expenditures and $348 million of dividends (SEC 10-K, filed 2026-02-12). The freshest datapoint, a QuantOrb money-flow snapshot for the 2026-09-17 session, shows MFI 15.99 with a 'BUY' screen classification at 0.7468 strength that the source explicitly labels not a recommendation. The engine tempers conviction for caveats — adjusted EPS of $0.56 versus GAAP $0.26, partly a tariff refund whose size is not available in provided documents. Sources: EIGHTK (SEC 8-K press release, 2026-07-30); FILING (SEC 10-K, filed 2026-02-12); FACTS (QuantOrb engine, 2026-09-17); engine analysis outputs.

Institutional 13F Shift Synthesis

Source: SEC 13F-HR holdings (as of 2026-03-31) via quantorb filers data — quarter-end snapshots, statutory lag up to 45 days

Quarter-end 13F-HR snapshot for BAX as tracked in the quantorb filers dataset (5 institutional filer rows on file; positions as of 2026-03-31, a quarter-end snapshot subject to the statutory 13F reporting lag of up to 45 days). Quarter-over-quarter share changes where the dataset carries them:

FilerSharesΔ QoQΔ%
PZENA INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT LLC 64,527,823 −5,518,428 -7.9%
GREENHAVEN ASSOCIATES INC 14,307,688 +3,614,465 +33.8%
RWC Asset Management LLP 3,077,569 n/an/a
Pale Fire Capital SE 1,582,743 −491,273 -23.7%
Front Street Capital Management, Inc. 1,324,093 +845,429 +176.6%

This is the dataset's tracked top-holder snapshot, not an exhaustive list of 13F filers; it is a periodic regulatory disclosure, not real-time portfolio data.

Management Sentiment & Catalyst Highlights

Management's press release (SEC 8-K Item 2.02, 2026-07-30) reports second-quarter 2026 sales of $2.96 billion, up 5% on both reported and organic bases with growth in all segments and divisions; U.S. GAAP diluted EPS of $0.26 and adjusted diluted EPS of $0.56; and a raised full-year 2026 outlook. CEO Andrew Hider said results 'exceeded expectations on both the top and bottom lines,' citing operating performance plus a tariff refund 'not previously contemplated in our guidance,' and framed priorities under the Baxter Growth and Performance System as 'further stabilizing the business' and 'strengthening the balance sheet.' The filing states a commitment to net leverage targets and 2025 dividends of $348 million (SEC 10-K, filed 2026-02-12). Engine-flagged catalysts visible in the corpus: the raised outlook itself, the engine's note that the second half laps the one-time refund, the next 13F-HR cycle, and follow-up QuantOrb snapshots; the next earnings date is not available in provided documents. Sources: EIGHTK (SEC 8-K press release, 2026-07-30); FILING (SEC 10-K, filed 2026-02-12); engine analysis outputs.

Key Risk Factors

The engine's risk review centers on earnings quality: adjusted EPS of $0.56 is more than double GAAP's $0.26, with the quarter partly carried by a tariff refund whose size is not available in provided documents; the engine reads the refund as evidence tariffs remain a live cost factor. Management's 'further stabilizing' and 'strengthening the balance sheet' language (press release, 2026-07-30) accompanies a stated net-leverage priority whose current figures are not available in provided documents (SEC 10-K, filed 2026-02-12). The 13F-HR snapshot (as of 2026-03-31, pre-dating the quarter) shows roughly 4.46 million shares added (Greenhaven, Front Street) against roughly 6.01 million trimmed (Pzena, Pale Fire) — net negative about 1.55 million shares — though Pzena retains 64.5 million shares, roughly four times the next holder. MFI 15.99 is the freshest datapoint; the engine notes a screen output cannot distinguish capitulation from persistent selling, with supporting indicator data not available in provided documents. Sources: THIRTEENF (SEC 13F-HR, 2026-03-31); EIGHTK; FILING; FACTS; engine risk review.

Sources

Facts (verifiable): SEC filings via the QuantOrb document corpus · QuantOrb money-flow & 13F datasets. Reading (AI-powered): AdCho’s synthesis via a multi-analyst AI engine.

Sheet schema adcho.tearsheet.v1 · rendered by AdCho · freshness day 11 (D11 day-0 rule, US-session dates only)