NSC — tear sheet
Full report → — all six engine sections for this run.
Executive Summary
The analysis engine assesses Norfolk Southern (NSC) as a Hold, judging the evidence genuinely balanced. The documents show record second-quarter 2026 railway operating revenues of $3.5 billion, up 11% year-over-year on 4% volume growth, a 65.5% adjusted operating ratio, and $3.52 adjusted diluted EPS per management's 8-K Item 2.02 press release (2026-07-23). The QuantOrb money-flow engine printed MFI 11.95 with a BUY signal at 0.749 strength for the 2026-09-17 session, which its source labels a screen output rather than advice. Against that, the cause of the documented selling pressure is not available in provided documents, tracked 13F filers were mixed as of 2026-03-31, merger terms are undisclosed, and, per the engine, no price or valuation data exists in the corpus. The engine therefore maintains its Hold stance, citing the Q3 2026 report as the key checkpoint and merger-terms disclosure or documented deterioration as its re-rating triggers. Sources: [FACTS], [EIGHTK], [THIRTEENF], document-constrained engine outputs.
Institutional 13F Shift Synthesis
Source: SEC 13F-HR holdings (as of 2026-03-31) via quantorb filers data — quarter-end snapshots, statutory lag up to 45 days
Quarter-end 13F-HR snapshot for NSC as tracked in the quantorb filers dataset (5 institutional filer rows on file; positions as of 2026-03-31, a quarter-end snapshot subject to the statutory 13F reporting lag of up to 45 days). Quarter-over-quarter share changes where the dataset carries them:
| Filer | Shares | Δ QoQ | Δ% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MILLENNIUM MANAGEMENT LLC | 4,584,086 | +433,655 | +10.4% | |
| Pentwater Capital Management LP | 3,220,000 | +201,000 | +6.7% | |
| HBK INVESTMENTS L P | 1,736,356 | −393,644 | -18.5% | |
| LONDON CO OF VIRGINIA | 1,700,297 | −110,556 | -6.1% | |
| Balyasny Asset Management L.P. | 1,338,717 | −331,543 | -19.8% |
This is the dataset's tracked top-holder snapshot, not an exhaustive list of 13F filers; it is a periodic regulatory disclosure, not real-time portfolio data.
Management Sentiment & Catalyst Highlights
Management's disclosures are constructive. In the 8-K Item 2.02 press release dated July 23, 2026, management reported an all-time quarterly revenue record of $3.5 billion, up $355 million or 11% year-over-year, on 4% volume growth with fuel surcharges contributing six points of the growth; the reported operating ratio was 67.6% with diluted EPS of $3.26, or 65.5% and $3.52 excluding merger-related expenses, restructuring and other charges, and Eastern Ohio incident effects. President and CEO Mark George said the quarter exceeded expectations as demand improved across key markets and, citing encouraging demand trends, described the company as well positioned on safety, service, and disciplined execution in the second half. Catalysts visible in the corpus: the Q3 2026 report, which the engine treats as the key checkpoint; any merger-terms disclosure, since merger-related expenses are documented while terms are not available in provided documents; and continuing Eastern Ohio incident effects. Sources: [EIGHTK], [FILING], engine outputs.
Key Risk Factors
The engine's risk review and the documents flag several exposures. The only fresh market datapoint — MFI 11.95 on 2026-09-17, documenting heavy selling — has a cause that is not available in provided documents, and all scheduled news and social sentiment feeds returned no data for the 2026-09-11 to 2026-09-18 window. Fuel surcharges contributed six of the eleven points of Q2 revenue growth (management's 8-K Item 2.02 press release), a composition the engine notes when weighing the record. The 13F-HR snapshot is as of 2026-03-31, subject to a statutory lag of up to 45 days, and tracked filers diverged: Millennium Management and Pentwater added shares while HBK, London Co of Virginia, and Balyasny reduced (SEC 13F-HR via quantorb filers data). Merger-related expenses appear in the press release, but merger terms, counterparty, and timeline are not available in provided documents. Eastern Ohio incident effects persist with unquantified magnitude, and no price or valuation data exists in the corpus. Sources: [FACTS], [EIGHTK], [THIRTEENF], engine risk review and sentiment/news analyst outputs.
Sources
- Source: SEC 10-K (filed 2026-02-09), excerpt — EDGAR accession 0001628280-26-006268 (via QuantOrb document corpus)
- Source: SEC 8-K Item 2.02 press release (2026-07-23) — NOT an earnings call transcript — EDGAR accession 0001193125-26-313393 (via QuantOrb document corpus)
- Source: SEC 13F-HR holdings (as of 2026-03-31) via quantorb filers data — quarter-end snapshots, statutory lag up to 45 days — dataset period 2026-03-31
- Source: QuantOrb money-flow engine, as of the 2026-09-17 US session
- Engine: multi-analyst AI engine, document-constrained run (stance: Hold). AdCho tear sheets are AI-powered qualitative context, not proof.
Facts (verifiable): SEC filings via the QuantOrb document corpus · QuantOrb money-flow & 13F datasets. Reading (AI-powered): AdCho’s synthesis via a multi-analyst AI engine.
Sheet schema adcho.tearsheet.v1 · rendered by AdCho · freshness day 11 (D11 day-0 rule, US-session dates only)